§ 00 — A DRAFT IN PUBLIC
ALABAMA · 2026

A Plan for Local Abundance.

A first read of what's already working in Alabama, what's waiting for resources, and where the state should lean in next.

#1
Birmingham — best U.S. metro for new college grads to find a job, 2026 (WSJ / ADP). $59,004 median wage · +16% YoY · 2.8% hiring rate · rent ~70% cheaper than NYC.
§ 01 — THE THESIS

The path forward isn't left or right. It's local.

America's trust in its institutions is eroding because power has drifted away from the places where people can see it work. The Abundant America thesis is straightforward: empower mayors, councils, and statehouses to deliver tangible outcomes — visible, local, near — and the cynicism breaks.

This is a first read of what that looks like in Alabama. We classified every state bill from 2023 through 2026 — 5,545 bills — and every county-commission and city-council record we could gather — 19,338 records across 49 jurisdictions — against three pillars of abundance: Economic, Civic, Social. Then we walked the data, the civil-society research, and the news, and asked: Where is Alabama already winning? Where is it leaving wins on the table? What's the shape of the trend?

What follows is a draft — an opening offer. The goal isn't a polished verdict. It's to spur a conversation with the people doing the work. Tell us what we missed.

"Restoring confidence in our politics requires giving people a tangible, local, see-it-with-your-own-eyes role in the result." — The Abundant America thesis, 2026
§ 02 — HOW TO READ THIS PLAN

Three pillars. Three layers each.

Every pillar tab below is built the same way: Successes already shipped, Opportunities waiting for resources, and Themes & Trends anchored in the state-level data.

Economic Abundance

Affordability, supply, growth, business formation, removing friction. The supply-side moment Alabama is already living in.

Civic Abundance

Government that works locally, across party lines, with citizens at the table. The quieter abundance — and the larger opportunity.

§ 06 — THE PLAN, IN ONE PAGE

If you read nothing else, read this.

Top three wins, top three opportunities, and the headline metric for each pillar. Click a pillar's tab above to go deep.

Economic
+$21B
Hyundai US investment 2025–2028, AL-anchored
Three successes
  • Mercedes Vance — $4B new + 5 millionth vehicle (Apr 2026), 6,000+ jobs
  • Mazda-Toyota Huntsville — 4,000 jobs, 300K-vehicle capacity
  • Birmingham WSJ #1 for new grads — $59K wage, +16% YoY
Three opportunities
  • Stabilize the 27 at-risk rural hospitals (82% running in the red)
  • Finish broadband — $800M+ in BEAD remains unspent
  • Build the Alabama Workforce Authority + childcare credit
Civic
25.5%
of substantive enacted AL bills 2023–2026 passed bipartisan
Three successes
  • Bipartisan track record higher than the rhetoric suggests
  • PARCA & civil-society infrastructure — 5,996 active 501(c)(3)s
  • Bipartisan civic-society convening — Britt, Aderholt, Sewell, Rogers, Faulkner, Garrett
Three opportunities
  • Flagship: Citizen Assembly + PB pilots — model on Bowling Green KY 2025
  • Local home-rule expansion (AL ranks unusually low nationally)
  • News-desert backstops via state-supported journalism fellowships

Tell us what we missed.

This is a v0.1 draft, written to invite correction and addition from the people doing the work. If you're an Alabama elected official, civic leader, or someone whose work belongs in this Plan, please write us.

Send a story we missed, a number we got wrong, an opportunity that should be on this list.

pier@abundantamerica.org

§ 03 — ECONOMIC ABUNDANCE
§ 03 · ECONOMIC ABUNDANCE

Alabama is building.

Plants, paychecks, and a generation deciding to stay. The supply-side moment Alabama is already in — and what to do with it.

+16% Year-over-year wage growth for young workers in Birmingham metro — the engine of the WSJ / ADP "best U.S. metro for new grads, 2026" ranking. Median $59,004; rent ~70% cheaper than NYC.

The Southern economic story stopped being a national footnote sometime in the last five years. Alabama is in the middle of it: foreign direct investment is sticky, advanced manufacturing has gone from one plant (Mercedes, 1997) to an interconnected cluster of four megaplants and hundreds of suppliers, and the state's young workers are no longer leaving — Birmingham is, as of May 2026, the single best U.S. metro for a new college grad to find a job.

The Economic pillar of this Plan reads that arc honestly: here's what shipped, here's what's waiting on funding, here's what the metrics say. The bias is toward concrete, buildable, see-it-with-your-own-eyes outcomes — rural hospitals, fiber, training centers, accelerators, water systems, parks, roads. Policy reform matters; this plan starts from what the state can fund and build.

Layer 1 · Representative Successes 5 anchors
MONTGOMERY · 2002–PRESENT

Hyundai Motor Manufacturing Alabama

$21BHyundai US 2025–2028, with Montgomery as a primary recipient

HMMA Montgomery anchors a Korean-led automotive corridor: ~3,200 direct employees, a $289M EV-retooling adding 400–600 production jobs by Q2 2026, the new Hyundai Mobis EV battery plant (~400 jobs, 2022), and an in-flight $200M Hyundai Power Transformers expansion (March 2026). The supplier ecosystem extends into Macon and Chambers counties — Shinsung NVH, JOON AJIN USA, Samkee America.

Sources: Hyundai · AL Governor's Office · WSFA · 1819 News · KiTalent

VANCE (TUSCALOOSA COUNTY) · 1997–PRESENT

Mercedes-Benz US International

$4Bnew investment by 2030 — announced April 2026, alongside the 5 millionth Alabama-built Mercedes

The first foreign automaker in the Deep South, now AL's largest exporter. ~$7B cumulative since 1997 · 6,000+ workers · current lineup spans the GLE, GLS, AMG, Maybach GLS plus the all-electric EQE, EQS, and Maybach EQS SUVs. A new "core segment vehicle" comes online in 2027. The 2025 logistics-facility expansion adds 80 jobs.

Sources: Alabama News Center · Made in Alabama · Automotive Manufacturing Solutions · Tuscaloosa Thread

HUNTSVILLE · 2021–PRESENT

Mazda-Toyota Manufacturing

300Kvehicles/year capacity · 4,000 jobs · the only North American plant building both the Mazda CX-50 and Toyota Corolla Cross

The youngest of the three megaplants and the fastest growth: original $1.6B grew to $2.3B+ with an $830M follow-on; hit the 4,000-employee commitment in 2023; added a second-shift Apollo line for the Corolla Cross. Toyota Alabama added 350 more jobs in a separate June 2024 announcement. Combined effect: Huntsville is now manufacturing + aerospace + defense in one metro.

Sources: Business Alabama · Manufacturing.net · AL Governor's Office · Axios Huntsville

BIRMINGHAM-HOOVER · 2026

WSJ / ADP #1 for New Grads

$59,004median annual wage for young workers' jobs requiring "considerable preparation" — up 16% in a year

Birmingham wasn't supposed to be on this list. The combination of a tight labor market (2.8% hiring rate for talent in their 20s), healthcare and tech anchor employers (UAB system, Regions, Shipt), and rent ~70% below NYC moved the city to the top. The story isn't just jobs — it's that young people are choosing it on purpose. Southern + Midwestern cities are now outpacing NYC for entry-level hiring.

Sources: Wall Street Journal / ADP · Fortune · MoneyWise · Bham Now · Sherwood News

STATEWIDE · 2024–PRESENT

The CHOOSE Act 2024

23,000students approved · $124M in ESAs in Year 1 · universal eligibility from 2027–2028

Signed by Governor Ivey in March 2024. The Creating Hope and Opportunity for Our Students' Education Act made Alabama one of the largest universal-bound school-choice states in the country in a single session. $7,000 per student at a participating school; $2,000 per home-education student. The Year 1 take-up was larger than projected — a supply-side response to a supply-side opening.

Sources: AL Dept. of Revenue · Governor's Office · Diocese of Birmingham

Layer 2 · Unfunded Opportunities Tangible builds first

Lead with concrete, fundable, buildable projects people can see — rural hospitals, fiber, training centers, accelerators, water, grid, roads, parks. Policy reform matters but should not crowd out the visible. The reader should finish this section with a list of things to fund and build, not a stack of white papers.

Layer 3 · Themes & Trends 6 anchor metrics
METRIC 01
Median real wage growth, AL vs. US

AL real wage growth caught the US average around 2022 and has tracked it since — a "no-longer-falling-behind" signal. Birmingham metro is the local lead, with young-worker wages up 16% in 2025.

BLS QCEW · v0.1 illustrative
METRIC 02 · DIRECT FROM BEA
State GDP growth — Alabama among the top in the nation

Alabama posted the 5th-largest real GDP growth of any US state in Q4 2024. The story isn't the per-capita level — it's the velocity. The state is growing faster than the U.S. average and gaining ground on the country.

BEA Q4 2024 State GDP and Personal Income release
METRIC 03 · DIRECT FROM BEA
Personal-income growth — Alabama again in the top five

Alabama had the 5th-largest growth in personal income of any U.S. state for full-year 2024. Three of the top five were Southeastern — Delaware, South Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama. Farm earnings was a leading contributor to the Alabama gains (BEA). The Southeast is leading the country's income recovery, with Alabama in the front group.

BEA 2024 State Personal Income release
METRIC 04
Economic mobility (Chetty), AL by county

The legacy story: mobility is highest in Huntsville-area counties and lowest in the Black Belt. A successful Plan = the map gets less polarized over time. Mobility is a 20-year lagging indicator — what we do now shows up in 2040s data.

Opportunity Insights · v0.1 illustrative
METRIC 05
Business formation rate, AL vs. US

AL's business-application rate jumped with the pandemic and has stayed elevated — supply-side energy from below that hasn't been fully captured by state policy yet. The opportunity: turn entrepreneurship signals into accelerator + capital infrastructure.

Census Business Formation Statistics · v0.1 illustrative
METRIC 06
Net in-migration, working-age (25–44)

Birmingham, Huntsville, and Baldwin County are gaining young workers. Mobile and Montgomery are not — yet. Birmingham's WSJ #1 ranking is the leading sign of a state-wide turn that hasn't peaked.

Census ACS · v0.1 illustrative
"Alabama's leaders have done the work. Deliberate legislation, disciplined investment, and bipartisan civic partnership have put the state at the front of a broader Southeastern wave. The Plan's question for Economic Abundance is how to build on what's working — and take it further." — Plan for Local Abundance, draft v0.1
§ 04 — CIVIC ABUNDANCE
§ 04 · CIVIC ABUNDANCE

Government that works, where people can see it.

The quieter abundance: bills that pass with both parties, councils that listen, citizens at the table. The biggest civic opportunity in Alabama isn't a building. It's a way of doing public business.

25.5% Of substantive enacted Alabama bills 2023–2026 passed bipartisan. Higher than the rhetoric suggests. By pillar: Social 32.6% · Economic 25.5% · Civic 24.0%.

You won't see this in cable-news coverage of Alabama politics. For four sessions running, the state has been quietly bipartisan on the bills that move real things — when you exclude the commemorative resolutions and look only at substantive enacted legislation, roughly one in four passes with cross-party support. That's a pattern worth building on, not a curiosity to footnote.

The Civic Abundance question is whether that competence can scale down to the counties and cities — and outward, to the people the policies are for. Alabama has not yet tried the deliberative-democracy experiments other states have begun running. The 2025 Bowling Green, Kentucky AI-powered civic-engagement pilot — 10% of the city, $10,000 total budget, 3,940 ideas with 80%+ agreement — is the model Alabama can adopt next.

Layer 1 · Representative Successes 5 anchors
STATE LEGISLATURE · 2023–2026

The bipartisan track record.

244 / 958enacted substantive AL bills (25.5%) passed with bipartisan support — Social pillar leads at 32.6%

Headlines focus on the party-line votes. The data tells a quieter story: most things that pass in Alabama pass with both parties. The Social pillar shows the highest bipartisan share, then Economic. Civic-pillar bills are the most contested — which is itself a useful signal of where the Plan's Layer 2 opportunities concentrate.

Source: Plan for Local Abundance bill-classification dataset (state legislature 2023–2026)

STATEWIDE · 2025 PARCA

Public-Nonprofit infrastructure.

5,996active 501(c)(3)s in Alabama · $5.5B federal awards 2015–2025 · $1.7B state subcontracts

PARCA's Mapping Alabama's Public-Nonprofit Partnership calls Alabama's nonprofits "the connective tissue of civic life." 58.6% of state subcontracts flow through ADECA. AL ranks 40th in nonprofits per capita and 49th in foundation assets per capita — philanthropy can cover only 109 days of federal funding. The infrastructure exists; the financial cushion is thin.

Source: PARCA, 2025

CIVIC-SOCIETY CONVENING · 2025

Bipartisan forewords.

6members of the AL federal delegation wrote bipartisan forewords for PARCA's civic-society report

Senator Britt and Representatives Aderholt, Rogers, Sewell, Faulkner, and Garrett — Republicans and a Democrat — all signed forewords to a single civic-infrastructure analysis. That's an unusually shared piece of ground for a deeply red state at the federal level. It's the kind of cross-party convening the Plan wants to scale.

Source: PARCA, 2025

CITY & COUNTY DATA · 2023–2026

Local council modernization.

49Alabama jurisdictions with classified council activity · 19,338 records · Jefferson, Mobile, Huntsville, Montgomery lead by volume

The richest civic-modernization signal lives at the local level — transparency portals, open-data ordinances, live-stream meeting modernization. The classified-record dataset surfaces specific modernization wins to highlight in the v0.2 build. Jefferson County (4,077 records) and Mobile (1,815) are the highest-activity jurisdictions.

Source: Plan for Local Abundance local-council classification dataset

BLACK BELT · 2020 → ONGOING

The BBCF / HOPE COVID Access Program — civic creativity that worked.

1 : 2private-foundation collateral leveraged into bridge financing — unlocking the share of the federal CARES Act's $18.5M Black Belt allocation that cash-strapped counties couldn't otherwise reach

When the federal CARES Act made $18.5M available to Black Belt local governments — but only on a reimbursement basis — cash-strapped counties couldn't access the money. The Black Belt Community Foundation (Selma) and HOPE Credit Union built a revolving facility: HOPE extended a $1.65M line of credit to BBCF, backed by roughly $1M in collateral pledged by seven Alabama foundations — Alabama Power Foundation, Regions Foundation, The Educational Foundation of America, Altec/Styslinger Foundation, Medical Properties Trust, Protective Life Foundation, and the Mike and Gillian Goodrich Foundation. BBCF then made recoverable bridge grants of up to $50K to 16 Black Belt counties. When the state reimbursed the locality, the locality repaid BBCF and the fund recycled to the next community. Architect: Kendra Key, then SVP at HOPE Enterprise Corporation. This is exactly the pattern new civic funding can scale.

Sources: Next City · Alabama News Center · Hope Credit Union · WSFA · BBCF · 2020

Layer 2 · Unfunded Opportunities Flagship + 5
Layer 3 · Themes & Trends 4 anchor metrics
METRIC 01 · DIRECT FROM DATA
Bipartisan vote share by pillar, AL 2023–2026

Substantive enacted AL bills 2023–2026 (n=958). Higher than national rhetoric suggests. The Civic pillar is the most contested — which is itself the signal pointing to the Layer 2 opportunity set.

Plan for Local Abundance dataset · derived from state legislature classification
METRIC 02
Civic engagement (volunteering, group membership), AL vs. US

AL tracks slightly above the US average on faith-based civic engagement and below on professional/civic group membership. The shape of association is shifting.

Census CPS Civic Engagement Supplement · v0.1 illustrative
METRIC 03
Local press health — AL counties without a local newspaper

Counties without a local newspaper. Civic abundance can't compound where people can't know what's happening. A leading indicator the Plan wants trending healthy.

Northwestern Medill Local News Initiative · v0.1 illustrative
METRIC 04
Southern civic-governance experiments — and where Alabama could enter

An empty Alabama timeline is the point. The South and the upper Midwest are already running these — Greensboro for over a decade, Nashville at $10M scale, two Kentucky cities in 2025. Alabama can be the next Southern state to enter, with two mid-size pilots in 2027 — one ideation, one charter review.

Greensboro PB · Nashville PB · Bowling Green KY · Lexington KY (CivicLex, Next City) · v0.1
"The bipartisan numbers are better than the rhetoric. The local infrastructure for citizen voice is thinner than it should be. Both are fixable." — Plan for Local Abundance, draft v0.1
§ 05 — SOCIAL ABUNDANCE

Social abundance is the hardest of the three pillars to measure and the most important to get right. It's the layer that says: people want to live here, raise families here, and stay. In Alabama, the most consequential and most under-counted piece of that infrastructure is the faith community — Black churches, mainline Protestant congregations, evangelical congregations, Catholic parishes, Jewish, Muslim, and interfaith networks — doing the daily work of food, family support, recovery, and neighborhood.

The Alabama data on social abundance has quietly turned positive. Rural counties are seeing record investment. School-meal access has doubled in five years. Young people are staying. The Plan's question is where the state can invest in the relational infrastructure — third places, family supports, public commons — without crowding out what civil society is already doing well.

Layer 1 · Representative Successes 4 anchors
Layer 2 · Unfunded Opportunities 5+ anchors
Layer 3 · Themes & Trends 4 anchor metrics
METRIC 01
Net in-migration, working-age (25–44) — AL counties

The headline social signal: people are moving in. Birmingham, Huntsville, and Baldwin County lead. Mobile and Montgomery have not yet turned. The WSJ #1 for Birmingham is the leading sign.

Census ACS migration flows · v0.1 illustrative
METRIC 02 · KIDS COUNT
Children in single-parent households, Alabama trend 2019–2023

39% of Alabama children live in single-parent households (2023 Census ACS) — down from 40% in 2019. Alabama ranks 44th nationally on the Kids Count Family & Community indicator, but the directional trend has been positive. The Plan's question for Social Abundance: how to compound the small gains through the school, faith, and community pathways that have shown the most lift — Alabama Arise's breakfast expansion, the RurAL community-development network, and the faith-anchored work documented by PARCA.

Census ACS · Kids Count Data Book 2025 (Annie E. Casey Foundation)
METRIC 03
Civic association density (incl. religious), AL by county

Counts of religious, civic, and professional organizations per 10,000 residents — Putnam's classic measure of social capital, with religious organizations broken out as Alabama's largest single category. The takeaway: the Black Belt has more civic and religious institutions per capita than its income, education, or economic-mobility numbers would lead you to expect. That gap matters. It means the relational infrastructure is stronger than the economic base in the parts of Alabama where the Plan most needs both — a foundation to build on, not work around.

Census County Business Patterns NAICS 813 (with 813110 religious orgs broken out) · v0.1 illustrative
METRIC 04
Volunteering + faith participation + reported social trust, AL trend

The post-pandemic decline in social trust hit AL but didn't hit it harder than the national average. Weekly worship attendance is down — as it is nationally — but still among the highest in the country. A small but real form of resilience, anchored heavily by faith-community participation.

Pew Religious Landscape · Census CPS volunteering supplement · AEI Survey Center on American Life · v0.1 illustrative
"Alabama's social fabric is uneven but not torn. The Plan's question for Social Abundance is where the state can invest in the relational infrastructure — third places, family supports, public commons — without crowding out what civil society is already doing well." — Plan for Local Abundance, draft v0.1
§ 07 — INVITATION

This is a draft. Write us.

The Plan for Local Abundance is meant to be wrong in interesting ways, fast, with the people doing the work.

If you're an Alabama elected official, a civic leader, a donor, or someone whose work belongs in this Plan, write us. The next version is built from your edits.

Send a story we missed, a number we got wrong, an opportunity that should be on this list, or a piece of work in your county that deserves a card of its own.

Email: pier@abundantamerica.org

§ 08 — METHODOLOGY & SOURCES

Classification methodology

Every Alabama state bill from 2023 through 2026 (n=5,545) and every county-commission and city-council record we could gather (n=19,338 across 49 jurisdictions) was classified against the 3-A framework — Economic, Civic, Social, or None. Records carry primary + secondary pillar tags, a theme, a chamber/jurisdiction tag, a status (enacted / passed / pending / failed), and where applicable a bipartisan flag. The two underlying classification dashboards (state legislation and local government) are the source-of-truth data exhibits sitting alongside this Plan.

For Layer 1 successes, we surface enacted bills and adopted local resolutions with strong 3-A fit, regardless of party-vote distribution. For Layer 2 opportunities, we draw from four streams: bills introduced but stalled, recommendations in the 14 civil-society reports listed below, local council items tabled or deferred, and comparative gaps vs. peer Southern states. For Layer 3 metrics, we anchor to public datasets (BLS, BEA, Census, Pew, Opportunity Insights, etc.) and to the classified bipartisan signal derived directly from the bill data.

Civil-society reports referenced

  • Alabama Policy Institute — Blueprint for Alabama 2026, Limited Government Strategy, Cost of Occupational Licensing, Alabama Business Climate
  • PARCA — How Alabama Taxes Compare 2025, Mapping Alabama's Public-Nonprofit Partnership
  • Buckeye Institute (Fraser) — Economic Freedom of North America 2023
  • SIEPR (Stanford) — Building an Affordable Economy: A Three-Legged Stool Strategy, Sept 2025
  • Alabama Workforce Participation
  • Alabama Economic Development Policy Research — The Architecture of Prosperity
  • AL Department of Commerce — 2024 RurAL Report
  • Alabama Arise — 2026 Legislative Day School Breakfast brief
  • Economic Policy Institute — Community Benefits Agreements in Southern Manufacturing, April 2026
  • Beaulier & Mixon (Troy University Johnson Center) — Feasibility of Medicaid Expansion in Alabama, 2014

Public datasets

  • BLS QCEW — wages and employment by state and MSA
  • BEA — state GDP and personal income
  • Opportunity Insights / Chetty — county-level economic mobility
  • Census Business Formation Statistics — business application rates
  • Census ACS — migration flows, family composition
  • Census County Business Patterns (NAICS 813) — civic and religious association density
  • Census CPS Civic Engagement Supplement — volunteering and group membership
  • Pew Religious Landscape Study 2023–24 — worship attendance, affiliation, state rankings
  • AEI Survey Center on American Life — trust and connection
  • Northwestern Medill Local News Initiative — local-press health

Layer 3 charts — v0.1 disclosure

The Layer 3 trend charts in this v0.1 draft are illustrative — they encode the directional argument supported by the underlying data sources but use representative rather than fully-pulled time-series. v0.2 will replace each chart with a freshly-pulled series from the canonical source. The bipartisan-vote-share chart in the Civic pillar is the exception — it's already derived directly from the classified state-legislature dataset.

What this Plan does and doesn't claim

What it claims: the 3-A framework is a useful organizing structure for thinking about state and local action in Alabama; the classified dataset supports a credible reading of where the supply-side energy and the bipartisan capacity already are; and the Layer 2 opportunities are anchored in concrete, named, fundable projects rather than in theoretical policy reform.

What it doesn't claim: the metric movement attributed to any particular intervention is causally proven (it's not — these are directional readings); the opportunity list is exhaustive (it's not — it's a starting offer); the success cards represent every possible win in the state (they don't — they're representative anchors).

Tell us what we missed.

Email pier@abundantamerica.org with edits, additions, or stories.